Healthcare, Senior Living, Economics
What do Morningside Ministries in San Antonio, Genesis Healthcare, Signature Healthcare, HCR ManorCare, and Syverson Health and Rehab in Wisconsin have in common? Answer: A terminal relationship with Medicaid. While Genesis isn’t “dead” yet, it is fundamentally on life support with a stock price of $1.50 per share and a Medicaid payer mix averaging 73%. HCR ManorCare is … Read more
As 2017 closed, a number of projects kept me busy right up to the Christmas holiday. Among these projects was a focus on the SNF industry current and its fortunes going forward, principally driven by clients in the investment industry. With REIT troubles, portfolio defaults on the part of HCR and Consulate, Sabra divesting Genesis facilities … Read more
There is an old joke/riddle that goes like this: “Where does an 800 lb. gorilla sit? Answer: Anywhere it wants to”. For SNFs and REITs today, that gorilla is Medicaid. Sure, there are numerous industry headwinds that SNFs face in terms of financial performance; Rising percentage of Medicare Advantage patients as part of the payer … Read more
CMS has released the text of the proposed rule with regard to bundled payment status (see my post from earlier today). The link is here – https://s3.amazonaws.com/public-inspection.federalregister.gov/2017-17446.pdf In summary, here are the high points. No advance of the cardiac and upper femur fracture/traumatic joint repair/replace bundles for 2018. The reason? As stated in my earlier … Read more
Lately I’ve written rather extensively on what is occurring in the SNF sector to (rather) dramatically shift the fortunes for companies such as HCR/ManorCare, Kindred, Genesis, Signature, et.al. and a series of REITs that hold SNF assets (physical). In addition to my writings, I’ve consulted/conversed with numerous investment firms concerned and interested in this shift. Underlying all of my … Read more
As the title of this post implies, a review of the status of the SNF industry is as much about current issues begat by past issues influenced by an outlook that is finally, starting to congeal. Writing that (sentence) was convoluted enough and that is exactly, where the bulk of the industry issues are. To begin, … Read more
Early into the Trump presidency and health care/health policy is front and center. The first “Obamacare repeal and replace” attempt crashed and burned. The upcoming roll-out of the next round of bundled payments (cardiac and femur fracture) is delayed to October from the end-of-March target date. Logically, one can question is a landscape shift forming? Doubtful. … Read more
Now that the real estate dynamics have shifted on-balance to par or better (majority of markets can liquidate inventory at stable or rising prices with constant or modestly increasing demand), the outlook for Seniors Housing (IL, AL and CCRC) is less murky. The recessionary of the last 7 to 8 years has lifted. What is visible, while still … Read more
With a new year upon us and (perhaps) the most amount of free-flowing health policy changes happening or about to happen in decades, it seems appropriate to create some simple resolutions for the year ahead. Similar to the personal resolutions most people make (get healthy, lose weight, clean closets, etc.), the following are about “improvements” … Read more
Join me as I host a one-hour webinar and conference call regarding post-election healthcare policy. The program/call is set for Wednesday, December 14 at 1:00 PM EST/noon CST. With uncertainty looming, providers are wondering what will change as the Inauguration approaches and a new Congress settles in. We will review the ACA, Medicaid and Medicare, and related … Read more