Healthcare, Senior Living, Economics
While we are seeing incremental occupancy gains in senior housing, the increases are slow but steady. Is there a leveling-off point upcoming? Perhaps. Regardless, even with the recent history of gains, there is a reason to be a bit skeptical for some product types to continue to improve. My skepticism rests at the Independent Living … Read more
During the pandemic and continuing somewhat through current, healthcare turnover has been on the rise. Nursing turnover (from direct care) and retirements exploded by mid-pandemic. Burnout was high as was job dissatisfaction. What became evident is the linkage between staff turnover and staffing difficulties along with COVID policy, and CEO turnover. While 2021 turnover was … Read more
Senior housing in the form of CCRCs, Independent Living and Assisted Living (including memory care) is a large user of debt financing. While equity has become more prevalent via increasing private equity interests in senior living, operators, especially non-profits, continue to rely heavily on bank and bond financing. Private equity and venture capital investment trends … Read more
TGIF! This Friday, I’m focusing on three trends that I think, will have a major impact on healthcare and senior living for the balance of the year and likely, at least the first half of 2024. These trends are in no particular order. Banking and Credit Struggles: This past week, the Federal Reserve provided some … Read more
With so much going on in the industry post-COVID, challenging labor markets, rising interest rate costs, high inflation, and supply chain issues still somewhat bothersome, insurers are rightfully skittish about senior housing and the post-acute environment. Of course, good provides with solid track records, high quality records, low to no recent claims, and evidence of … Read more
Like all healthcare/senior housing investments during the pandemic, REITs experienced turbulence and stagnant growth. Coming out of the pandemic, the outlook has started to brighten but, challenges remain in adjusting REIT portfolios. The adjustments are fundamentally, selling under-performing assets within their portfolios. Rebounds in occupancy are providing some bright spots though assets within, remain a … Read more
For the past two years, as the pandemic emergency waned, and the U.S. and the rest of the world moved back to a more normalized business and social condition, the fallouts of a mish-mashed pandemic policy (federal, states, local) became evident. School closures with virtual learning impacted kids and their education performance (falling performance on … Read more
Recently, I wrote a post on recruitment in a tough labor market. Suffice to say, I have not in my three decades plus career, seen a tougher labor market for clinical staff (all staff in many regards). COVID had a lot to do with the shifting supply of labor, but I’ll offer that health policies … Read more
Current economic and government policy conditions have converged to create a concerning trend for home health and SNF providers. The trend for both segments is loosely known as “referral rejection”. The number of referrals that both provider types are rejecting is up considerably since the start of the pandemic and for now, I see no … Read more
The smallest distinct segment of senior housing is Life Plan communities or CCRCs. Assisted Living, Independent Living and Skilled nursing, in each segment, dwarf the number of CCRCs yet, CCRC popularity remains and continues to grow, if ever so slowly. CCRCs run a gamut between large and small, entry fee to rental, with/without SNFs yet … Read more